American football
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MERRY CHRISTMAS
BASED ON VEGAS CONSENSUS BETTING LINES AT 10:00 AM ON 12/23/22.
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD IN 2022
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER IN 2022
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER IN 2022
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLE BETS LISTED IN ORDER OF LIKLEYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
team abbreviations key: NFL TEAM ABBREVIATIONS KEY
GAME 9
WAS (7-6-1) AT SFF (10-4)
M/L: WAS (+240), SFF (-300)
VEGAS LINES: SFF -7, 37.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4, O/U 1.5
WAS: 54% ATS, 31% OVER, 69% UNDER
SFF: 64% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: SFF 71.8%
OUR PICK: 25-14 SFF
POSSIBLE BET: SFF -7 (64%) (4*)
GAME 10
PHI(13-1) AT DAL(10-4)
M/L: PHI(+180), DAL(-225)
VEGAS LINES: DAL -4, 46.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2, O/U 1.5
PHI: 57% ATS, 64% OVER, 36% UNDER
DAL: 57% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: PHI 34.0%
OUR PICK: 27-21 PHI
POSSIBLE BET: OVER (60.5%) (4*) OR PHI +4 (57%) (3*) OR PHI ON ML (+180) (34%)
GAME 11
LVR (6-8) AT PIT (6-8)
M/L: LVR (+115), PIT (–135)
VEGAS LINES: PIT -2.5, 38.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5, O/U 5.5
LVR: 50% ATS, 54% OVER, 46% UNDER
PIT: 54% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: PIT 55.3%
OUR PICK: 23-21 PIT
POSSIBLE BET: PIT ON ML (-135) (55.3%) (3*) OR LVR +7.5 (50%0 (2*)
