BASED ON Vegas consensus BETTING LINES AT 7:00 AM ON 12/15/22.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
MIA(14-15) AT HOU(9-18)
M/L: MIA (-165), HOU(+140)
VEGAS LINES: MIA -4.5, 222.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 2.5
MIA: 32% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
HOU: 54% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
WIN%: MIA: 59.9%
OUR PICK: 114-111 MIA
POSSIBLE BETS: MIA ON ML (-165) (59.9%) (3*) OR HOU +4.5 (54%) (2*)
GAME 2
PHO (16-12) AT LAC (17-13)
M/L: PHO (+105), LAC (-125)
VEGAS LINES: LAC -1.5, 220.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 6.5
PHO: 50% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
LAC: 50% ATS, 37% OVER, 63% UNDER
WIN%: PHO: 46.8%
OUR PICK: 115-112 PHO
POSSIBLE BETS: PHO +1.5 (50%) (1*) OR PHO ON ML (+105) (46.8%) (1*)
GAME 3
NOP(18-9) AT UTA(16-14)
M/L: NOP(-120), UTA (+100)
VEGAS LINES: NOP -1.5, 232.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 2.5
NOP: 56% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
UTA: 57% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: NOP: 52.2%
OUR PICK: 120-115 NOP
POSSIBLE BETS: NOP -1.5 (56%) (3*) OR NOP ON ML (-120) (52.2%) (2*)
