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BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 12/23/22.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
POR(17-15) AT DEN(19-11)
M/L: POR (+150), DEN(-185)
VEGAS LINES: DEN -4.5, 234.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 2.5
POR: 63% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
DEN: 43% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
WIN%: DEN: 61.9%
OUR PICK: 118-114 DEN
POSSIBLE BETS: POR +4.5 (63%) (4*) OR DEN ON ML (-185) (61.9%0 (4*) OR UNDER (51.5%) (2*)
GAME 2
TOR (14-18) AT CLE (22-11)
M/L: TOR (+145), CLE (-175)
VEGAS LINES: CLE -4.5, 215.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 9.5
TOR: 50% ATS, 53% OVER, 47% UNDER
CLE: 58% ATS, 42% OVER, 58% UNDER
WIN%: CLE: 60.9%
OUR PICK: 116-109 CLE
POSSIBLE BETS: CLE ON ML (-175) (60.9%) (4*) OR CLE -4.5 (58%) (3*)
GAME 3
CHA(8-24) AT LAL(13-18)
M/L: CHA(+135), LAL (-160)
VEGAS LINES: LAL -3.5, 236.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4.5 O/U 0.5
CHA: 45% ATS, 53% OVER, 47% UNDER
LAL: 39% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: LAL: 59.1%
OUR PICK: 122-114 LAL
POSSIBLE BETS: LAL ON ML (-160) (59.1%) (3*)
