Merry christmas

Christmas backgrounds: gingerbread cookies and hot chocolate shot on rustic wooden table. The composition is at the left of an horizontal frame leaving useful copy space for text and/or logo at the right. Christmas tree and string lights are out of focus at background. Predominant colors are red, green and brown.
BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 12/25/22.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
MEM(20-11) AT GSW(15-18)
M/L: MEM (-250), GSW(+200)
VEGAS LINES: MEM -6.5, 229.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 5.5
MEM: 52% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
GSW: 42% ATS, 63% OVER, 37% UNDER
WIN%: MEM: 68.2%
OUR PICK: 120-115 MEM
POSSIBLE BETS: OVER (55%) (3*)
GAME 2
MIL (22-10) AT BOS (23-10)
M/L: MIL (+165), BOS (-200)
VEGAS LINES: BOS -4.5, 224.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 6.5
MIL: 57% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
BOS: 58% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
WIN%: BOS: 63.9%
OUR PICK: 116-115 BOS
POSSIBLE BETS: MIL +4.5 (57%) (3*) OR OVER (51%) (2*)
GAME 3
PHO(19-14) AT DEN(20-11)
M/L: PHO(+135), DEN (-160)
VEGAS LINES: DEN -3.5, 231.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 1.5
PHO: 52% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
DEN: 45% ATS, 45% OVER, 55% UNDER
WIN%: DEN: 59.1%
OUR PICK: 118-115 DEN
POSSIBLE BETS: DEN ON ML (-160) (59.1%) (3*) OR PHO +3.5 (52%) (2*)