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BASED ON Vegas consensus BETTING LINES AT 8:00 AM ON 12/8/22.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
LAC(14-12) AT MIA(11-14)
M/L: LAC (+160), MIA(-190)
VEGAS LINES: MIA -5, 214.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 7 O/U 7.5
LAC: 42% ATS, 35% OVER, 65% UNDER
MIA: 33% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
WIN%: LAC: 37.0%
OUR PICK: 112-110 LAC
POSSIBLE BETS: LAC ON ML (+160) (37%)
GAME 2
HOU (7-17) AT SAS (6-18)
M/L: HOU (-138), SAS (+118)
VEGAS LINES: HOU -2.5, 231.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4.5 O/U 3.5
HOU: 52% ATS, 54% OVER, 46% UNDER
SAS: 38% ATS, 44% OVER, 56% UNDER
WIN%: HOU: 55.8%
OUR PICK: 121-114 HOU
POSSIBLE BETS: HOU ON ML (-138) (55.8%)
GAME 3
DEN(14-10) AT POR(13-11)
M/L: DEN(-110), POR (-106)
VEGAS LINES: DEN -1, 226.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 7 O/U 7.5
DEN: 46% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
POR: 63% ATS, 41% OVER, 59% UNDER
WIN%: DEN: 50.4%
OUR PICK: 121-113 DEN
POSSIBLE BETS: DEN ON ML (-110) (50.4%)
