BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 2/15/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
CLE(38-22) AT , PHI(37-19)
M/L: CLE (+105), PHI (-125)
VEGAS LINES: PHI -1.5, 216.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 10.5
CLE: 56% ATS, 45% OVER, 55% UNDER
PHI: 58% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: CLE: 46.8%
OUR PICK: 114-113 CLE
3OSSIBLE BETS: CLE ON ML (+105) (46.8%) (1*) OR CLE +1.5 (56%) (3*) OR OVER 216.5 (51.5%) (2*)
GAME 2
CHI (26-31) AT IND(25-34)
M/L: CHI (+105), IND(-125)
VEGAS LINES: IND -1.5, 231.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 4.5
CHI: 51% ATS, 42% OVER, 58% UNDER
IND: 51% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
WIN%: CHI 46.8%
OUR PICK: 119-117 CHI
POSSIBLE BETS: CHI ON ML (+105) (46.8%) (1*) OR OVER 231.5 (55.5%) (3*) OR CHI +1.5 (51%) (2*)
GAME 3
NYK (32-27) AT ATL (29-29)
M/L: NYK (+120), ATL(-145)
VEGAS LINES: ATL -3.5, 232.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 4.5
NYK: 54% ATS, 54% OVER, 46% UNDER
ATL: 46% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: NYK 43.4%
OUR PICK: 120-117 NYK
POSSIBLE BETS: NYK ON ML (+120) (43.4%) (1*) OR OVER 232.5 (55.5%) (3*) OR NYK +3.5 (54%) (2*)
