BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 2/16/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
MIL(40-17) AT , CHI(26-32)
M/L: MIL (-290), CHI (+235)
VEGAS LINES: MIL -7.5, 229.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 10.5
MIL: 57% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
CHI: 50% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: MIL: 71.4%
OUR PICK: 119-113 MIL
3OSSIBLE BETS: CHI +7.5 (50%) (2*)
GAME 2
WAS (27-30) AT MIN(31-29)
M/L: WAS (+140), MIN(-165)
VEGAS LINES: MIN -3.5, 235.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 1.5
WAS: 50% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
MIN: 48% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: MIN 59.9%
OUR PICK: 118-116 MIN
POSSIBLE BETS: MIN ON ML (-165) (59.9%) (3*) OR UNDER 235.5 (50.5%) (2*) OR WAS +3.5 (50%) (2*)
GAME 3
LAC (32-28) AT PHO (32-27)
M/L: LAC (-105), PHO(-115)
VEGAS LINES: PHO -1.5, 224.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 8.5 O/U 6.5
LAC: 50% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
PHO: 54% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
WIN%: PHO 51.1%
OUR PICK: 121-111 PHO
POSSIBLE BETS: PHO -1.5 (54%) (2*) OR PHO ON ML (-115) (51.1%) (2*)
