BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 2/26/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
SAC(34-25) AT , OKC(28-31)
M/L: SAC (-165), OKC (+140)
VEGAS LINES: SAC -3.5, 240.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 3.5
SAC: 55% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
OKC: 63% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: SAC: 59.9%
OUR PICK: 123-121 SAC
3OSSIBLE BETS: OKC +3.5 (63%) (4*) OR SAC ON ML (-165) (3*) OR OVER 240.5 (54%) (2*)
GAME 2
WAS (28-31) AT CHIK(27-33)
M/L: WAS (+150), CHI(-175)
VEGAS LINES: CHI -4.5, 225.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 7.5
WAS: 50% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
CHI: 50% ATS, 42% OVER, 58% UNDER
WIN%: CHI 61.4%
OUR PICK: 118-115 CHI
POSSIBLE BETS: CHI ON ML (-175) (61.4%) (4*) OR WAS +4.5 (50%) (2*)
GAME 3
LAL (28-32) AT DAL (32-29)
M/L: LAL (+145), DAL(-175)
VEGAS LINES: DAL -3.5, 236.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 4.5
LAL: 48% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
DAL: 38% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
WIN%: DAL 60.9%
OUR PICK: 123-118 DAL
POSSIBLE BETS: DAL ON ML (-175) (60.9%) (4*) OR OVER 236.5 (54.0%) (2*)
