BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 2/27/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
BOS(44-17) AT , NYK(35-27)
M/L: BOS (-150), NYK (+125)
VEGAS LINES: BOS -2.5, 222.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 5.5 O/U 11.5
BOS: 56% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
NYK: 56% ATS, 53% OVER, 47% UNDER
WIN%: BOS: 57.4%
OUR PICK: 121-113 BOS
3OSSIBLE BETS: BOS ON ML (-150) (57.4%) (3*) OR BOS -2.5 (56%) (3*) OR OVER 222.5 (52%) (2*)
GAME 2
ORL (25-36) AT NOP (30-31)
M/L: ORL (+140), NOP(-165)
VEGAS LINES: NOP -3.5, 225.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 6.5
ORL: 55% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
NOP: 47% ATS, 54% OVER, 46% UNDER
WIN%: NOP 59.9%
OUR PICK: 118-114 NOP
POSSIBLE BETS: NOP ON ML (-165) (59.9%) (3*) OR OVER 225.5 (51.0%) (2*)
GAME 3
MIA (32-29) AT PHI(39-20)
M/L: MIA (+200), PHI(-250)
VEGAS LINES: PHI -6.5, 216.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 13.5
MIA: 36% ATS, 46% OVER, 54% UNDER
PHI: 59% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: PHI 68.2%
OUR PICK: 120-110 PHI
POSSIBLE BETS: PHI -6.5 (59%) (3*) OR OVER 216.5 (51.5%) (2*)