BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 2/8/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
PHI(34-18) AT , BOS(38-16)
M/L: PHI (+165), BOS (-190)
VEGAS LINES: BOS -4.5, 228.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 3.5
PHI: 57% ATS, 60% OVER, 40% UNDER
BOS: 52% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
WIN%: BOS: 63.5%
OUR PICK: 119-115 BOS
3OSSIBLE BETS: BOS ON ML (-190) (63.5%) (4*) OR PHI +4.5 (57%) (3*) OR OVER 228.5 (54.0%) (2*)
GAME 2
GSW (28-26) AT POR (26-28)
M/L: GSW (+130), POR (-155)
VEGAS LINES: POR -3.5, 234.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 2.5
GSW: 47% ATS, 62% OVER, 38% UNDER
POR: 52% ATS, 46% OVER, 54% UNDER
WIN%: POR 58.3%
OUR PICK: 119-118 POR
POSSIBLE BETS: POR ON ML (-155) (58.3%) (3*) OVER 234.5 (54.0%) (2*)
GAME 3
MIN (29-28) AT UTA(27-28)
M/L: MIN (+130), UTA(-154)
VEGAS LINES: UTA -3.5, 232.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 8.5
MIN: 47% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
UTA: 55% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
WIN%: UTA 58.2%
OUR PICK: 121-120 UTA
POSSIBLE BETS:UTA ON ML (-154) (58.2%) (3*) OR OVER 232.5 (51.5%) (2*)
