BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/11/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
OKC (31-35) AT NOP (32-34)
M/L: OKC(+110), NOP (-130)
VEGAS LINES: NOP -2.5, 233.0 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 8.0
OKC: 60% ATS, 61% OVER, 39% UNDER
NOP: 46% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: NOP 54.3%
OUR PICK: 121-120 NOP
POSSIBLE BETS: OKC +2.5 (60%) (4*) OR OVER 233.0 (55.5%) (3*) OR NOP ON ML (-130) (54.3%) (2*)
GAME 2
BOS(46-21) AT ATL(34-33)
M/L: BOS (-190), ATL (+155)
VEGAS LINES: , BOS -4.5, 236.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 1.5
BOS: 54% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
ATL: 46% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: BOS: 62.6%
OUR PICK: 123-115 BOS
3OSSIBLE BETS: BOS ON ML (-190) (62.6%) (4*) OR BOS -4.5 (54%) (2*)
GAME 3
UTA (32-35) AT CHA(22-46)
M/L: UTA (-145), CHA(+120)
VEGAS LINES: UTA -2.5, 231.0 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 9
UTA: 55% ATS, 55% OVER, 45% UNDER
CHA: 46% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: UTA 56.6%
OUR PICK: 121-119 UTA
POSSIBLE BETS: UTA ON ML (-145) (56.6%) (3*)
GAME 4
MIL (48-18) AT GSW(34-33)
M/L: MIL (-105), GSW(-115)
VEGAS LINES: GSW -1.5, 238.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4.5 O/U 1.5
MIL: 60% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
GSW: 47% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: GSW 48.9%
OUR PICK: 123-117 MIL
POSSIBLE BETS: MIL +1.5 (60%) (4*) OR MIL ON ML (-105) (48.9%) (1*)
