BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/12/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
OKC (32-35) AT SAS (17-49)
M/L: OKC(-155), SAS (+125)
VEGAS LINES: OKC -3.5, 236.0 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 12.5 O/U 10.0
OKC: 61% ATS, 60% OVER, 40% UNDER
SAS: 41% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: OKC 57.8%
OUR PICK: 131-115 OKC
POSSIBLE BETS: OKC -3.5 (61%) (4*) OR OVER 236.0 (59.0%) (3*) OR OKC ON ML (-155) (57.8%) (3*)
GAME 2
CLE(42-27) AT CHA(22-47)
M/L: CLE (-300), CHA (+240)
VEGAS LINES: , CLE -7.5, 220 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 12
CLE: 55% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
CHA: 45% ATS, 44% OVER, 56% UNDER
WIN%: CLE: 71.8%
OUR PICK: 121-111 CLE
3OSSIBLE BETS: CLE -7.5 (55%) (3*)
GAME 3
NYK (39-30) AT LAL(33-34)
M/L: NYK (+115), LAL(-140)
VEGAS LINES: LAL -2.5, 226.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 9.5
NYK: 55% ATS, 55% OVER, 45% UNDER
LAL: 46% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: NYK 44.4%
OUR PICK: 121-115 NYK
POSSIBLE BETS: NYK +2.5 (56%0 (3*) OR OVER 226.5 (51.5%) (2*) OR NYK ON ML (+115) (44.4%) (1*)
