BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/13/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
IND(31-37) AT DET(15-53)
M/L: IND (-175), DET (+145)
VEGAS LINES: , IND -3.5, 228.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 10.5 O/U 15.5
IND: 54% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
DET: 45% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
WIN%: IND: 60.9%
OUR PICK: 129-115 IND
3OSSIBLE BETS: IND ON ML (-175) (60.9%) (4*) OR IND -3.5 (54%) (2*) OR OVER 228.5 (51.5%) (2*)
GAME 2
MIL (48-19) AT SAC (40-26)
M/L: MIL(-120), SAC (+100)
VEGAS LINES: MIL -1.5, 236.0 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 4.0
MIL: 59% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
SAC: 57% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
WIN%: MIL 52.2%
OUR PICK: 121-119 MIL
POSSIBLE BETS: MIL -1.5 (59%) (3*) OR MIL ON ML (-120) (52.2%) (2*) OR OVER 236.0 (50.0%) (2*)
GAME 3
PHO (37-30) AT GSW(35-33)
M/L: PHO (+160), GSW(-190)
VEGAS LINES: GSW -4.5, 238.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 11.5 O/U 2.5
PHO: 55% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
GSW: 48% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: PHO 37.0%
OUR PICK: 124-117 PHO
POSSIBLE BETS: PHO +4.5 (55%) (3*) OR OVER 238.5 (54.0%) (2*) OR PHO ON ML (+160) (37.0%) (1*)
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