BASED ON VEGAS CONSENSUS BETTING LINES AT 7:00 AM ON 3/15/22.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2021-22 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2021-22 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2021-22 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
team abbreviations key: team abbreviations key
GAME 1
DET(18-50) AT MIA (45-24)
M/L: DET (+659), MIA (-1000)
VEGAS LINES: MIA -13, 216 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1, O/U 4
DET: 53% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
MIA: 59% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: MIA 87.3%
OUR PICK: 116-104 MIA
POSSIBLE BETS: MIA ON M/L (-1000) OR OVER 216 OR DET +13
GAME 2
BKN(35-33) AT ORL(18-51)
M/L: BKN (-455), ORL(+347)
VEGAS LINES: BKN -9.5, 231.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5, O/U 7.5
BKN: 39% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
ORL: 48% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: BKN 78.6%
OUR PICK: 115-109 BKN
POSSIBLE BETS: BKN ON M/L (-455) OR UNDER 231.5 OR ORL +9.5
GAME 3
MEM(47-22) AT IND (23-46)
M/L: MEM (-286), IND(+231)
VEGAS LINES: MEM -7, 232.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1, O/U 4.5
MEM: 64% ATS, 55% OVER, 45% UNDER
IND: 48% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: MEM 71.0%
OUR PICK: 118-110 MEM
POSSIBLE BETS: MEM ON M/L (-286) OR MEM -7 OR UNDER 232.5
GAME 4
PHO (54-14) AT NOP(28-40)
M/L: PHO (-222), NOP(+183)
VEGAS LINES: PHO -5.5, 225 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4.5, O/U 1
PHO: 53% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
NOP: 49% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: PHO 66.1%
OUR PICK: 117-107 PHO
POSSIBLE BETS: PHO ON M/L (-222) OR PHO -5.5 OR UNDER 225
