BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/2/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
PHI(40-21) AT , DAL(32-31)
M/L: PHI (+135), DAL (-160)
VEGAS LINES: DAL -3.5, 228.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 6.5 O/U 2.5
PHI: 58% ATS, 55% OVER, 45% UNDER
DAL: 37% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
WIN%: PHI: 40.9%
OUR PICK: 117-114 PHI
3OSSIBLE BETS: PHI +3.5 (58.0%) (3*) OR OVER 238.0 (55.5%) (3*) OR PHI ON ML (+135) (40.9%) (1*)
GAME 2
IND (28-35) AT SAS (15-47)
M/L: IND(-210), SAS(+170)
VEGAS LINES: IND -4.5, 238.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 7.5 O/U 3.5
IND: 58% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
SAS: 40% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: IND 64.7%
OUR PICK: 127-115 IND
POSSIBLE BETS: IND -4.5 (54%) (2*) OR OVER 238.5 (52.5%) (2*)
GAME 3
TOR (31-32) AT WAS(29-32)
M/L: TOR (-125), WAS(+105)
VEGAS LINES: TOR -1.5, 232.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 0.5
TOR: 49% ATS, 54% OVER, 46% UNDER
WAS: 49% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
WIN%: TOR 53.2%
OUR PICK: 118-115 TOR
POSSIBLE BETS: TOR ON ML (-125) (53.2%) (2*)
