BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/20/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
CHI(33-37) AT PHI(48-22)
M/L: CHI (+230), PHI (-300)
VEGAS LINES: , PHI -7.5, 224.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 10.5 O/U 11.5
CHI: 49% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
PHI: 59% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: PHI: 71.2%
OUR PICK: 127-109 PHI
3OSSIBLE BETS: PHI -7.5 (59) (3*) OR OVER 224.5 (50%) (2*)
GAME 2
SAC (43-27) AT UTA(34-36)
M/L: SAC (-250), UTA (+200)
VEGAS LINES: SAC -5.5, 239.0 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4.5 O/U 9
SAC: 58% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
UTA: 57% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: SAC 68.2%
OUR PICK: 129-119 SAC
POSSIBLE BETS: SAC -5.5 (58%) (3*) OR OVER 239.0 (54.0%) (2*)
GAME 3
IND (32-39) AT CHA (22-50)
M/L: IND(-130), CHA(+105)
VEGAS LINES: IND -1.5, 232.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 9.5 O/U 10.5
IND: 53% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
CHA: 44% ATS, 44% OVER, 56% UNDER
WIN%: IND 53.7%
OUR PICK: 127-116 IND
POSSIBLE BETS: IND ON ML (-130) (53.7%) (2*) OR IND -1.5 (53%) (2*)
