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BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/26/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
CHI(35-38) AT LAL(37-37)
M/L: CHI (+155), LAL (-190)
VEGAS LINES: , LAL -4.5, 224.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 3.5
CHI: 50% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
LAL: 49% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
WIN%: LAL: 62.6%
OUR PICK: 123-115 LAL
3OSSIBLE BETS: LAL ON ML (-190) (62.6%) (4*)
GAME 2
MEM (46-27) AT ATL(37-37)
M/L: MEM(-135), ATL (+110)
VEGAS LINES: MEM -2.5, 224.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 13.5
MEM: 48% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
ATL: 47% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: MEM 54.7%
OUR PICK: 120-118 MEM
POSSIBLE BETS: MEM ON ML (-135) (54.7%) (2*) OR OVER 224.5 (52%) (2*)
GAME 3
WAS (33-41) AT TOR (36-38)
M/L: WAS(+200), TOR(-250)
VEGAS LINES: TOR -5.5, 228.5
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 7.5 O/U 5.5
WAS: 47% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
TOR: 51% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WIN%: TOR 54.7%
OUR PICK: 123-110 TOR
POSSIBLE BETS: OVER 228.5(53%) (2*) OR TOR -5.5 (51%) (2*)
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