BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/28/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
MIA(40-35) AT TOR(37-38)
M/L: MIA (+115), TOR (-140)
VEGAS LINES: , TOR -2.5, 219.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 9.5
MIA: 38% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
TOR: 51% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
WIN%: TOR: 65.6%
OUR PICK: 117-112 TOR
3OSSIBLE BETS: OVER 219.5 (57%) (3*) OR TOR ON ML (-140) (55.6%0 (3*) OR TOR -2.5 (51%) (2*)
GAME 2
CLE (48-28) AT ATL(37-38)
M/L: CLE(-120), ATL (+100)
VEGAS LINES: CLE -1.5, 233.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 0.5
CLE: 55% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
ATL: 46% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
WIN%: CLE 52.2%
OUR PICK: 119-115 CLE
POSSIBLE BETS: CLE -1.5 (55%) (3*) OR CLE ON ML (-120) (52.2%) (2*)
GAME 3
NOP (38-37) AT GSW (39-37)
M/L: NOP(+300), GSW(-400)
VEGAS LINES: GSW -9.5, 234.5
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 10.5 O/U 4.5
NOP: 49% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
GSW: 47% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
WIN%: NOP 23.8%
OUR PICK: 120-119 NOP
POSSIBLE BETS: OVER 234.5 (52%) (2*) OR NOP ON ML (+300) (23.8%) (1*)
