BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/5/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
MIL(45-18) AT , WAS(30-33)
M/L: MIL (-175), WAS (+145)
VEGAS LINES: , MIL -4.5, 228.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 8.5 O/U 8.5
MIL: 59% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
WAS: 50% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
WIN%: MIL: 60.9%
OUR PICK: 125-112 MIL
3OSSIBLE BETS: MIL ON ML (-175) (60.9%) (4*) OR MIL -4.5 (59%) (3*)
GAME 2
SAS (16-48) AT HOU (14-49)
M/L: SAS(-115), HOU(-140)
VEGAS LINES: HOU -2.5, 229.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 10.5
SAS: 40% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
HOU: 39% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: HOU 55.6%
OUR PICK: 121-119 HOU
POSSIBLE BETS: HOU ON ML (-140) (55.6%) (3*) OR OVER 229.5 (53.5%) (2*)
GAME 3
GSW (34-30) AT LAL(30-34)
M/L: GSW (-200), LAL(+165)
VEGAS LINES: GSW -5.5, 235.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 9.5
GSW: 49% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
LAL: 48% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
WIN%: GSW 63.9%
OUR PICK: 126-119 GSW
POSSIBLE BETS: OVER 235.5 (54.5%) (2*)
