BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 3/8/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
CLE (41-26) AT MIA (35-31)
M/L: CLE (-140), MIA (+115)
VEGAS LINES: CLE -2.5, 213.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 5.5 O/U 14.5
CLE: 55% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
MIA: 37% ATS, 45% OVER, 55% UNDER
WIN%: CLE 55.6%
OUR PICK: 118-110 CLE
POSSIBLE BETS: CLE ON ML (-140) (55.6%) (3*) OR CLE -2.5 (55%) (3*)
GAME 2
ATL(32-33) AT , WAS(31-34)
M/L: ATL (-160), WAS (+135)
VEGAS LINES: , ATL -3.5, 233.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 5.5
ATL: 45% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
WAS: 48% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
WIN%: ATL: 59.1%
OUR PICK: 120-119 ATL
3OSSIBLE BETS: ATL ON ML (-160) (59.1%) (3*) OR OVER 233.5 (53.0%) (2*)
GAME 3
DAL (34-32) AT NOP(31-34)
M/L: DAL (-120), NOP(+100)
VEGAS LINES: DAL -1.5, 233.0 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4.5 O/U 5.0
DAL: 37% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
NOP: 45% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
WIN%: DAL 52.2%
OUR PICK: 122-116 DAL
POSSIBLE BETS: OVER 233.0 (54.0%) (2*) OR DAL ON ML (-120) (52.2%) (2*)
