BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 4/30/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
MIA (49-39) AT NYK(51-36)
ROUND 2, GAME 1
SERIES TIED 0-0
M/L: MIA(+165), NYK (-200)
VEGAS LINES: NYK -4.5, 207.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 7.5 O/U 14.5
MIA: 41% ATS, 24% OVER, 48% UNDER
NYK: 58% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
WIN%: NYK 63.9%
OUR PICK: 117-105 NYK
POSSIBLE BETS: NYK -4.5 (58.0%) (3*) OR OVER 207.56 ()51.56%) (2*)
GAME 2
GSW (48-40) AT SAC(50-38)
ROUND 1, GAME 7
SERIES TIED 3-3
M/L: GSW(+105), SAC (-125)
VEGAS LINES: SAC -1.5, 228.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 7.5
GSW: 47% ATS, 55% OVER, 45% UNDER
SAC: 56% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
WIN%: SAC 53.2%
OUR PICK: 120-116 SAC
POSSIBLE BETS: SAC -1.5 (56.0%) (3*) OR SAC ON ML (-125) (53.2%) (2*) OR OVER 228.5 (52.0%) (2*)
