BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 4/7/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
MEM(50-30) AT MIL(58-22)
MEM HAS CLINCHED THE DIVISION
MIL HAS CLINCHED THE BEST RECORD IN NBA
M/L: MEM (-275), MIL (+230)
VEGAS LINES: , MEM -6.5, 229.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 3.5
MEM: 46% ATS, 46% OVER, 54% UNDER
MIL: 58% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: MIL: 29.2%
OUR PICK: 118-115 MIL
POSSIBLE BETS: MIL +6.5 (58%) (3*) OR MIL ON ML (+230) (29.2%) (1*)
GAME 2
TOR (40-40) AT BOS(55-25)
TOR HAS CLINCHED A PLAYOFF BERTH
BOS HAS CLINCHED THE DIVISION
M/L: TOR (+110), BOS (-135)
VEGAS LINES: BOS -2.5, 218.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 21.5 O/U 19.5
TOR: 51% ATS, 55% OVER, 45% UNDER
BOS: 55% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
WIN%: BOS 54.7%
OUR PICK: 131-107 BOS
POSSIBLE BETS: BOS -2.5 (55%) (3*) OR BOS ON ML (-135) (54.7%) (2*) OR OVER 218.5 (52%) (2*)
GAME 3
DET (16-64) AT IND(34-46)
M/L: DET(+220), IND (-275)
DET HAS BEEN ELIMINATED
IND HAS BEEN ELIMINATED
VEGAS LINES: IND -6.5, 228.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 10.5 O/U 8.5
DET: 43% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
IND: 52% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
WIN%: IND 70.1%
OUR PICK: 127-110 IND
POSSIBLE BETS: IND -6.5 (52%) (2*) OR OVER 228.5 (51%) (2*)
