BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 4/8/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD
team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations
GAME 1
DEN (52-28) AT UTA(36-44)
M/L: DEN(-275), UTA (+210)
DEN HAS CLINCHED THE CONFERENCE
UTA HAS BEEN ELIMINATED
VEGAS LINES: DEN -6.5, 226.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 8.5 O/U 13.5
DEN: 54% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
UTA: 58% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: UTA 30.5%
OUR PICK: 121-119 UTA
POSSIBLE BETS: UTA +6.5 (58%) (3*) OR OVER 226.5 (52.5%) (2*) OR UTA ON ML (+210) (30.5%) (1*)
GAME 2
POR(33-47) AT LAC(42-38)
POR HAS BEEN ELIMINATED
LAC ARE STILL ALIVE
M/L: POR (+1000), LAC (-2000)
VEGAS LINES: , LAC -16.5, 225.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5 O/U 12.5
POR: 49% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
LAC: 50% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
WIN%: LAC: 91.3%
OUR PICK: 128-110 LAC
POSSIBLE BETS: LAC -16.5 (50%) (2*)
GAME 3
MIN (40-40) AT SAS(21-59)
MIN HAS CLINCHED A PLAYOFF BERTH
SAS HAS BEEN ELIMINATED
M/L: MIN (-1400), SAS (+800)
VEGAS LINES: MIN -13.5, 234.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5 O/U 9.5
MIN: 48% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
SAS: 40% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: MIN 89.4%
OUR PICK: 127-117 MIN
POSSIBLE BETS: OVER 234.5 (53%) (2*)
