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BASED ON Vegas consensus betting lines at 7:00 AM on 5/6/23.
M/L = MONEY LINE
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD FOR 2022-23 SEASON
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED FOR 2022-23 SEASON
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER FOR 2022-23 SEASON
WIN% IS THE CALCULATED WIN PERCENTAGE FROM THE VEGAS MONEY LINES.
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLES BETS ARE BETS THAT FIT RANKED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***

BET GRADING SCALE:
(5*) 70%+ LIKELYHOOD
(4*) 60.0 TO 69.9% LIKELYHOOD
(3*) 55.0 TO 59.9% LIKELYHOOD
(2*) 50.0 TO 54.9% LIKELYHOOD
(1*) LESS THAN 50% LIKELYHOOD

team abbreviations: NBA team abbreviations

GAME 1

NYK (52-37) AT MIA(50-40)
ROUND 2, GAME 3
SERIES TIED 1-1
M/L: NYK(+150), MIA (-185)
VEGAS LINES: MIA -3.5, 208.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5 O/U 14.5
BOS: 57% ATS, 53% OVER, 47% UNDER
PHI: 59% ATS, 54% OVER, 46% UNDER
WIN%: MIA 61.9%
OUR PICK: 114-110 MIA

POSSIBLE BETS: MIA ON ML (-185) (61.9%) (4*) OR OVER 208.5 (51.5%) (2*)

GAME 2

GSW (50-41) AT LAL(49-42)
ROUND 2, GAME 3
SERIES TIED 1-1
M/L: GSW(+125), LAL (-155)
VEGAS LINES: LAL -3.5, 227.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5 O/U 9.5
GSW: 48% ATS, 56% OVER, 44% UNDER
LAL: 50% ATS, 53% OVER, 47% UNDER
WIN%: GSW 42.2%
OUR PICK: 119-118 GSW

POSSIBLE BETS: OVER 227.5 (54.5%) (2*) OR GSW ON ML (+125) (42.2%) (1*)