Game 4 KCC @ WAS
Vegas lines:
KCC (-300) at WAS (+250)
spread KCC (-7) WAS (+7)
Over/Under: 54
Genie Prediction: 31-28 KCC
line differences:
Team
KCC
Our spread -3
Vegas spread -7
Difference 4.0
Our O/U 59
Vegas O/U 54
Difference 5
WAS
Our spread +3
Vegas spread +7
Difference 4.0
Our O/U 59
Vegas O/U 54
Difference 5
KCC 56% ATS, 50% VS OVER, 50% VS UNDER
WAS IS 63% ATS, 52% VS OVER, 48% VS UNDER
CHI +6 LOOKS BETTABLE BUT THEIR 44% AGAINST THE SPREAD WARNS ME OFF, O/U IS TOO CLOSE TO CALL.
Our bet recommendation is to TAKE THE OVER.
Game 5 MIN @ CAR
Vegas lines:
MIN (-135) at CAR (+115)
spread MIN (-2.5) CAR (+2.5)
Over/Under: 46
Genie Prediction: 24-19 CAR
line differences:
Team
MIN
Our spread +5
Vegas spread -2.5
Difference 7.5
Our O/U 43
Vegas O/U 46
Difference 3
CAR
Our spread -5
Vegas spread +2.5
Difference 7.5
Our O/U 43
Vegas O/U 46
Difference 3
MIN 56% ATS, 49% VS OVER, 51% VS UNDER
CAR IS 40% ATS, 52% VS OVER, 48% VS UNDER
CAR +2.5 LOOKS BETTABLE BUT THEIR 40% AGAINST THE SPREAD WARNS ME OFF, WE CALLED THE UNDER AND BOTH TEAMS CLOSE TO 50% VS THAT.
Our bet recommendation is to TAKE THE UNDER.
Game 6 LAC @ BAL
Vegas lines:
LAC (+115) at BAL (-135)
spread LAC (+2.5) BAL (-2.5)
Over/Under: 51.5
Genie Prediction: 26-23 LAC
line differences:
Team
LAC
Our spread -3
Vegas spread +2.5
Difference 5.5
Our O/U 49
Vegas O/U 51.5
Difference 2.5
BAL
Our spread +3
Vegas spread -2.5
Difference 5.5
Our O/U 49
Vegas O/U 51.5
Difference 2.5
LAC 44% ATS, 47% VS OVER, 53% VS UNDER
BAL IS 44% ATS, 45% VS OVER, 55% VS UNDER
WITH THE VEGAS SPREAD NO HELP TO EITHER SIDE, WE LOOK TO THE O/U. WE ARE CALLING THE UNDER AND BOTH TEAMS ARE 53% PLUS VS THE UNDER.
Our bet recommendation is to TAKE THE UNDER.
