Game 1 CIN @ BAL
Vegas lines:
CIN (240) at BAL (-280)
spread BAL -6.5
Over/Under: 46.0
Genie Prediction: 23-23 TIE
line differences:
spread 6.5
O/U 0
ATS (AGAINST THE SPREAD): CIN 44%, BAL 44%
OVER%: CIN 44%, BAL 47%
UNDER%: CIN 56%, BAL 53%
Bet: BAL on the M/L (-280)
Game 2 CAR @ NYG
Vegas lines:
CAR (-150) at NYG (130)
spread CAR -3
Over/Under: 43
Genie Prediction: 29-18 CAR
line differences:
spread 8
O/U 4
ATS (AGAINST THE SPREAD): CAR 40%, NYG 56%
OVER%: CAR 52%, NYG 42%
UNDER%: CAR 48%, NYG 58%
We pick CAR by 11 and the over. CAR is poor ATS but 52% over.
Bet: Take the over
Game 3 WAS @ GBP
Vegas lines:
WAS (+340) at GBP (-420)
spread GBP -8.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Genie Prediction: 31-21 GBP
line differences:
spread 1.5
O/U 3.5
ATS (AGAINST THE SPREAD): WAS63%, GBP 61%
OVER%: WAS 52%, GBP 58%
UNDER%: WAS 48%, GBP 42%
We pick GBP by 10 and the over. Both teams are 60% + ATS but the -8.5 line does not work on a pick by 10. Both teams are also 52%+ over.
Bet: Take the over
