Game 7 DET @ LAR
Vegas lines:
DET (800) at LAR (-1400)
spread LAR -16
Over/Under: 50.5
Genie Prediction: 32-18 LAR
line differences:
spread 2.0
O/U 0.5
ATS (AGAINST THE SPREAD): DET 47%, LAR 27%
OVER%: DET 51%, LAR 48%
UNDER%: DET 49%, LAR 52%
We pick LAR by 14 and under, LAR are 27% ATS and the under margin is a slim 0.5.
Bet: Do not bet this game
Game 8 PHI @ LVR
Vegas lines:
PHI (140) at LVR (-160)
spread LVR -3
Over/Under: 49.5
Genie Prediction: 27-23 LVR
line differences:
spread 1.0
O/U 0.5
ATS (AGAINST THE SPREAD): PHI 50%, LVR 59%
OVER%: PHI 47%, LVR 52%
UNDER%: PHI 53%, LVR 48%
We pick LVR by 4 and the over, the spread differential is small at 1 and LVR is sub 50% under on a SLIMMER 0.5 o/u margin.
Bet: LVR on the M/L (-160)
Game 9 CHI @ TBB
Vegas lines:
CHI (600) at TBB (-900)
spread TBB -12.5
Over/Under: 47
Genie Prediction: 28-20 TBB
line differences:
spread 4.5
O/U 1.0
ATS (AGAINST THE SPREAD): CHI 44%, TBB 56%
OVER%: CHI 40%, TBB 58%
UNDER%: CHI 60%, TBB 42%
We pick TBB by 8 and the under, the spread differential is high and TBB is 56% ATS, but the line at -12.5 does not fit. Our over margin is slim at 1 but TBB is 58% over.
Bet: Take the over
