BASED ON VEGAS CONSENSUS BETTING LINES AT 1:00 PM ON 10/28/21.
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD SINCE 2015
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER SINCE 2015
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER SINCE 2015
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
GAME 1
MIA (1-6) AT BUF (4-2)
M/L: MIA (+650), BUF (-1000)
VEGAS LINES: BUF -14, 48.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 5, O/U 2.5
MIA: 56% ATS, 55% OVER, 45% UNDER
BUF: 38% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
OUR PICK: 35-16 BUF
1 POSSIBLE BET: BUF -14
GAME 2
CAR (3-4) AT ATL (3-3)
M/L: CAR (+135), ATL (-155)
VEGAS LINES: ATL -3, 46.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0, O/U 2.5
CAR: 40% ATS, 52% OVER, 48% UNDER
ATL: 63% ATS, 53% OVER, 47% UNDER
OUR PICK: 26-23 CAR
1 POSSIBLE BET: CAR ON M/L (+135)
GAME 3
PHI (2-5) AT DET (0-7)
M/L: PHI (-165), DET (+145)
VEGAS LINES: PHI -3.5, 48 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5, O/U 1
PHI: 50% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
DET: 47% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
OUR PICK: 28-21 PHI
1 POSSIBLE BET: PHI -3.5
GAME 4
TEN (5-2) AT IND (3-4)
M/L: TEN (+105), IND (-125)
VEGAS LINES: IND -1.5, 50.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0.5, O/U 1.5
TEN: 44% ATS, 60% OVER, 40% UNDER
IND: 46% ATS, 51% OVER, 49% UNDER
OUR PICK: 25-24 TEN
1 POSSIBLE BET: TEN +1.5
GAME 5
LAR (6-1) AT HOU (1-6)
M/L: LAR (-1000), HOU (+650)
VEGAS LINES: LAR -14.5, 47.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1.5, O/U 2.5
LAR: 27% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
HOU: 41% ATS, 46% OVER, 54% UNDER
OUR PICK: 33-17 LAR
1 POSSIBLE BET: LAR -14.5
