BASED ON VEGAS CONSENSUS BETTING LINES AT 1:00 PM ON 10/28/21.
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD SINCE 2015
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER SINCE 2015
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER SINCE 2015
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
GAME 6
CIN (5-2) AT NYJ (1-5)
M/L: CIN (-500), NYJ (+400)
VEGAS LINES: CIN -10.5, 43 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 5.5, O/U 3
CIN: 44% ATS, 44% OVER, 56% UNDER
NYJ: 38% ATS, 48% OVER, 52% UNDER
OUR PICK: 31-15 CIN
1 POSSIBLE BET: CIN -10.5
GAME 7
PIT (3-3) AT CLE (4-3)
M/L: PIT (+165), CLE (-185)
VEGAS LINES: CLE -3.5, 42.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 0, O/U 2.5
PIT: 58% ATS, 40% OVER, 60% UNDER
CLE: 25% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
OUR PICK: 25-22 CLE
1 POSSIBLE BET: CLE ON M/L (-185)
GAME 8
SFF (2-4) AT CHI (3-4)
M/L: SFF (-190), CHI (+170)
VEGAS LINES: SFF -4, 39.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1, O/U 3.5
SFF: 27% ATS, 53% OVER, 47% UNDER
CHI: 44% ATS, 40% OVER, 60% UNDER
OUR PICK: 23-20 SFF
1 POSSIBLE BET: SFF ON M/L (-190)
GAME 9
JAX (1-5) AT SEA (2-5)
M/L: JAX (+145), SEA (-165)
VEGAS LINES: SEA -3, 44 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3, O/U 4
JAX: 50% ATS, 49% OVER, 51% UNDER
SEA: 50% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
OUR PICK: 27-21 SEA
1 POSSIBLE BET: SEA -3
