Pro American Football on the Field Close Up with room for copy, shot at shallow depth of field
HAPPY THANKSGIVING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BASED ON LAS VEGAS CONCENSUS LINES AS OF 8:00 AM ON 11/23/22
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER IN 2022
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER IN 2022
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLE BETS LISTED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
team abbreviations key: NFL TEAM ABBREVIATIONS KEY
GAME 1
BUF (7-3) AT DET (4-6)
M/L: BUF (-450), DET (+350)
VEGAS LINES: BUF -9.5, 54.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5, O/U 3.5
BUF: 56% ATS, 30% OVER, 70% UNDER
DET: 60% ATS, 70% OVER, 30% UNDER
WIN%: BUF 78.6%
OUR PICK: 32-19 BUF
POSSIBLE BET: BUF -9.5 (56%)
GAME 2
NYG (7-3) AT DAL (7-3)
M/L: NYG (+330), DAL (-420)
VEGAS LINES: DAL -9.5, 45.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 5, O/U 4.5
NYG: 70% ATS, 30% OVER, 70% UNDER
GBP: 70% ATS, 40% OVER, 60% UNDER
WIN%: DAL 77.6%
OUR PICK: 25-15 DAL
POSSIBLE BET: DAL -9.5 (70%) OR UNDER 45.5 (65%)
GAME 3
NEP (6-4) AT MIN (8-2)
M/L: NEP (+116), MIN (-136)
VEGAS LINES: MIN -2.5, 42.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 4.5, O/U 0.5
NEP: 67% ATS, 40% OVER, 60% UNDER
MIN: 44% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: MIN 55.5%
OUR PICK: 25-18 MIN
POSSIBLE BET: MIN ON ML (-136) (55.5%)
