Football players holding up football.
BASED ON VEGAS CONSENSUS BETTING LINES AT 10:00 AM ON 12/16/22.
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD IN 2022
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER IN 2022
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER IN 2022
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLE BETS LISTED IN ORDER OF LIKLEYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
team abbreviations key: NFL TEAM ABBREVIATIONS KEY
GAME 1
BAL (9-4) AT CLE (5-8)
M/L: BAL (+125), CLE (-155)
VEGAS LINES: CLE -3, 38 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 14, O/U 11
BAL: 42% ATS, 31% OVER, 69% UNDER
CLE: 46% ATS, 58% OVER, 42% UNDER
WIN%: BAL 42.2%
OUR PICK: 29-18 BAL
POSSIBLE BET: BAL ON ML (+125) (42.2%) (1*)
GAME 2
MIA(8-5) AT BUF(10-3)
M/L: MIA; (+240), BUF(-300)
VEGAS LINES: BUF -7, 44 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 5, O/U 6
MIA: 46% ATS, 46% OVER, 54% UNDER
BUF: 50% ATS, 23% OVER, 77% UNDER
WIN%: BUF 71.8%
OUR PICK: 31-19 BUF
POSSIBLE BET: BUF -7 (50%) (2*)
GAME 3
IND (4-8-1) AT MIN (10-3)
M/L: IND (+165), MIN (-200)
VEGAS LINES: MIN -4, 47.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 5, O/U 0.5
IND: 39% ATS, 31% OVER, 69% UNDER
MIN: 50% ATS, 62% OVER, 38% UNDER
WIN%: IND 26.1%
OUR PICK: 24-23 IND
POSSIBLE BET: UNDER (52.5%) (2*)
