American football
BASED ON LAS VEGAS CONSENSUS LINES AS OF 11:00 AM ON 12/14/22
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER IN 2022
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER IN 2022
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLE BETS LISTED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
team abbreviations key: NFL TEAM ABBREVIATIONS KEY
******BET GRADES*****
(5*) 70% + PROBABILITY
(4*) 60.0-69.9% PROBABILITY
(3*) 55.0-59.9% PROBABILITY
(2*) 50.0-54.9% PROBABILITY
(1*) LESS THAN 50% PROBABILITY
GAME 1
SFF (9-4) AT SEA (7-6)
M/L: SFF (-185), SEA (+150)
VEGAS LINES: SFF -3.5, 43.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 8.5, O/U 2.5
SFF: 62% ATS, 46% OVER, 54% UNDER
SEA: 46% ATS, 62% OVER, 38% UNDER
WIN%: SFF 61.9%
OUR PICK: 29-17 SFF
POSSIBLE BET: SFF -3.5 (62%) (4*) OR SFF ON ML (-185) (61.9% (4*)
