
Football players holding up football.
BASED ON VEGAS CONSENSUS BETTING LINES AT 10:00 AM ON 12/23/22.
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD IN 2022
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER IN 2022
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER IN 2022
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLE BETS LISTED IN ORDER OF LIKLEYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
team abbreviations key: NFL TEAM ABBREVIATIONS KEY
GAME 1
ATL (5-9) AT BAL (9-5)
M/L: ATL (+240), BAL (-300)
VEGAS LINES: BAL -6.5, 35.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5, O/U 5.5
ATL: 57% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
BAL: 39% ATS, 29% OVER, 71% UNDER
WIN%: BAL 71.8%
OUR PICK: 25-16 BAL
POSSIBLE BET: NBR
GAME 2
NOS(5-9) AT CLE(6-8)
M/L: NOS(+125), CLE(-150)
VEGAS LINES: CLE -3, 32.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 1, O/U 11.5
NOS: 36% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
CLE: 50% ATS, 54% OVER, 46% UNDER
WIN%: CLE 57.4%
OUR PICK: 23-21 CLE
POSSIBLE BET: CLE ON ML (-150) (57.4%) (3*)
GAME 3
DET (7-7) AT CAR (5-9)
M/L: DET (-145), CAR (+120)
VEGAS LINES: DET -2.5, 43.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 12.5, O/U 1.5
DET: 71% ATS, 64% OVER, 36% UNDER
CAR: 50% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: DET 56.6%
OUR PICK: 30-15 DET
POSSIBLE BET: DET -2.5 (71%) (5*) OR DET ON ML (-145) (56.6% (3*) OR OVER (53.5%) (2*)
GAME 4
CIN (10-4) AT NEP (7-7)
M/L: CIN (-165), NEP (+140)
VEGAS LINES: CIN -3, 41.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2, O/U 3.5
CIN: 79% ATS, 39% OVER, 61% UNDER
NEP: 54% ATS, 43% OVER, 57% UNDER
WIN%: CIN 59.9%
OUR PICK: 23-22 CIN
POSSIBLE BET: CIN ON ML (-165) (59.9%) (3*) OR NEP +3 (54%) (2*)