American football
BASED ON LAS VEGAS CONSENSUS LINES AS OF 8:00 AM ON 12/22/22
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER IN 2022
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER IN 2022
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLE BETS LISTED IN ORDER OF LIKELYHOOD.
team abbreviations key: NFL TEAM ABBREVIATIONS KEY
******BET GRADES*****
(5*) 70% + PROBABILITY
(4*) 60.0-69.9% PROBABILITY
(3*) 55.0-59.9% PROBABILITY
(2*) 50.0-54.9% PROBABILITY
(1*) LESS THAN 50% PROBABILITY
GAME 1
JAX (6-8) AT NYJ (7-7)
M/L: JAX (+110), NYJ (-130)
VEGAS LINES: NYJ -1.5, 37.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5, O/U 8.5
JAX: 43% ATS, 57% OVER, 43% UNDER
NYJ: 57% ATS, 36% OVER, 64% UNDER
WIN%: NYJ 54.3%
OUR PICK: 25-21 NYJ
POSSIBLE BET: NYJ -1.5 (57%) (3*) OR NYJ ON ML (-130) (54.3%) (2*)
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