Pro American Football on the Field Close Up with room for copy, shot at shallow depth of field
BASED ON VEGAS CONSENSUS BETTING LINES AT 9:00 AM ON 1/5/23.
ATS= AGAINST THE SPREAD IN 2022
M/L = MONEY LINE
OVER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED OVER IN 2022
UNDER% IS PERCENTAGE OF GAMES FINISHED UNDER IN 2022
DIFFERENCES ARE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE VEGAS LINES AND OUR LINES FROM THE PICK.
POSSIBLE BETS LISTED IN ORDER OF LIKLEYHOOD.
***NBR: NO BET RECOMMENDED***
team abbreviations key: NFL TEAM ABBREVIATIONS KEY
GAME 1
NYJ (7-9) AT MIA (8-8)
M/L: NYJ (-120), MIA (+100)
VEGAS LINES: NYJ -1, 38.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2, O/U 4.5
NYJ: 50% ATS, 31% OVER, 69% UNDER
MIA: 50% ATS, 50% OVER, 50% UNDER
WIN%: NYJ 52.2%
OUR PICK: 23-20 NYJ
POSSIBLE BET: NYJ ON ML (-120) (52.2%) (2*) OR NYJ -1 (50%) (2*)
GAME 2
CLE(7-9) AT PIT(8-8)
M/L: CLE(+120), PIT(-145)
VEGAS LINES: PIT -2.5, 40.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 2.5, O/U 1.5
CLE: 50% ATS, 47% OVER, 53% UNDER
PIT: 60% ATS, 37% OVER, 63% UNDER
WIN%: PIT 56.6%
OUR PICK: 22-17 PIT
POSSIBLE BET: PIT -2.5 (60%) (4*) OR PIT ON ML (-145) (56.6%) (3*)
GAME 3
HOU (2-13-1) AT IND (4-11-1)
M/L: HOU (+120), IND (-145)
VEGAS LINES: IND -2.5, 38 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 3.5, O/U 3
HOU: 47% ATS, 37 OVER, 63% UNDER
IND: 38% ATS, 37% OVER, 63% UNDER
WIN%: HOU 43.4%
OUR PICK: 21-20 HOU
POSSIBLE BET: HOU +2.5 (47%) (1*) OR HOU ON ML (+120) (43.4%) (1*)
GAME 4
TBB (8-8) AT ATL(6-10)
M/L: TBB (+165), ATL (-200)
VEGAS LINES: ATL -4, 40.5 O/U
DIFFERENCES: SPREAD 10, O/U 1.5
TBB: 27% ATS, 31% OVER, 69% UNDER
ATL: 50% ATS, 38% OVER, 63% UNDER
WIN%: TBB 36.1%
OUR PICK: 24-18 TBB
POSSIBLE BET: TBB ON ML (+165) (36.1%) (1*)
