Our Pick accuracy

 

At Gametime Genie, we make our picks based on statistics and trends.   Over time these produce positive results.  Not every pick we make wins, but over time, more wins than losses.  We also strive to continually improve our picks.  We grade ourselves on multiple aspects of every pick on a 4-point grading scale.

4-point scale:

A+   4.3

A     4.0

A-    3.7

B+    3.3

B      3.0

B-     2.7

C+    2.3

C      2.0

C-     1.7

D+    1.3

D      1.0

D-      0.7

F       0.0

We grade our accuracy on the following aspects:

  1. The road team score
  2. The home team score
  3. The spread
  4. The over Under
  5. The total game grade (average of the previous 4)

 

We constantly strive to improve by researching, collecting data and modifying our picks based on the data striving for perfection.  We use our self grading system to drive our improvement.

 

Different sports have different scoring levels so our 4-point scale is applied differently to different sports.

In Baseball:

Difference from actual Grade
0 4.3
1 4.0
2 3.7
3 3.3
4 3.0
5 2.7
6 2.3
7 2.0
8 1.7
9 1.3
10 1.0
11 0.7
12 0.3
13+ 0.0

 

In Hockey

Difference from actual Grade
0 4.3
1 4.0
2 3.7
3 3.3
4 3.0
5 2.7
6 2.3
7 2.0
8 1.7
9 1.3
10 1.0
11 0.7
12 0.3
13+ 0.0

In Football

Difference from actual Grade
0 4.3
1-3 4.0
4-6 3.7
7-9 3.3
10-12 3.0
13-15 2.7
16-18 2.3
19-21 2.0
22-24 1.7
25-27 1.3
28-30 1.0
31-33 0.7
34-36 0.3
37+ 0.0

 

In Basketball

Difference from actual Grade
0 4.3
1-4 4.0
5-8 3.7
9-12 3.3
13-16 3.0
17-20 2.7
21-24 2.3
25-28 2.0
29-32 1.7
33-36 1.3
37-40 1.0
41-44 0.7
45-48 0.3
49+ 0.0

 

For the year 2020-21, we graded out as follows:

NFL picks overall 77.3% correct with an A-

NBA picks overall 72.1% correct with a B+

NHL picks overall 66.7% correct with an A

MLB picks overall 67.0% correct with an A-

By category we grade out as follows:

Across NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB

Road score   3.78  A-

Home score   3.78  A-

Spread            3.93  A

Over/Under   3.33  B+

Overall            3.68  A-